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Derby County v Sheffield Wednesday prediction

Sat 7 Mar, 15:00 Championship Full time 2–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Derby County to win 67%
Derby 67% Draw 20% Sheffield Wednesday 13%
Best price1.27 bet365 Fair price1.49 from our 67%
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 74%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 56%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceDerby County to win 67%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Derby County All games L W L L W
1–2 v IPS 2–0 v SWA 0–2 at WAT 2–4 at HUL 3–1 v BBR
Sheffield Wednesday All games L L L L L
0–4 at SWA 1–2 v MLW 1–2 at SHU 0–2 at NOR 1–3 v SOU

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes45% Both teams scored in 4 of Derby County's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 1 of Sheffield Wednesday's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerDerbyDrawSheffield Wednesday
bet365 1.27 5.25 11.00
WilliamHill 1.25 5.50 11.00
Betfair 1.25 5.50 11.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Derby County v Sheffield Wednesday: prediction and result

Derby County hosted Sheffield Wednesday in the Championship on Saturday 7 March and won 2–1.

Derby County are in mixed form: 2 won, 0 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 6 points from a possible 15. They have scored 8 and conceded 9 in that run. Their last game was a 3–1 win at home to Blackburn Rovers.

Sheffield Wednesday are short of results: 0 won, 0 drawn and 5 lost from their last 5, 0 points from a possible 15. They have scored 3 and conceded 13 in that run. Their last game was a 1–3 defeat at home to Southampton.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.27 for Derby, 5.50 for the draw and 11.00 for Sheffield Wednesday. The bookmakers make Derby County favourites, at about 74% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Derby County to win, with a 67% chance. The market puts it at 74% and our match model at 56%, and blending those with recent form gives 67%. The best price, 1.27 at bet365, is shorter than our fair price of 1.49. The pick won.

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.