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Swansea City v Stoke City prediction

Sat 7 Mar, 15:00 Championship Full time 2–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Swansea City to win 50%
Swansea 50% Draw 27% Stoke 22%
Best price1.91 WilliamHill Fair price1.98 from our 50%

How we got to 50%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 49%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 52%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceSwansea City to win 50%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Swansea City All games W L W D L
4–0 v SHF 0–2 at DRB 1–0 v BSC 1–1 v PNE 0–3 at IPS
Stoke City All games D L D W L
0–0 at WBA 0–1 at CHA 2–2 v LEI 2–1 v OXF 1–2 at CVC

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes47% Both teams scored in 3 of Swansea City's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of Stoke City's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerSwanseaDrawStoke
WilliamHill 1.91 3.30 4.00
Betfair 1.91 3.25 4.00
bet365 1.85 3.40 4.20
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Swansea City v Stoke City: prediction and result

Swansea City hosted Stoke City in the Championship on Saturday 7 March and won 2–0.

Swansea City are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 0–3 defeat away at Ipswich Town.

Stoke City are in mixed form: 1 won, 2 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 5 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 1–2 defeat away at Coventry City.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.91 for Swansea, 3.40 for the draw and 4.20 for Stoke. The bookmakers make Swansea City favourites, at about 50% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Swansea City to win, with a 50% chance. The market puts it at 49% and our match model at 52%, and blending those with recent form gives 50%. The best price, 1.91 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 1.98. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Championship table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.