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Wrexham v Swansea City prediction

Fri 13 Mar, 20:00 Championship Full time 2–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Wrexham to win 44%
Wrexham 44% Draw 27% Swansea 29%
Best price2.30 WilliamHill Fair price2.28 from our 44%

How we got to 44%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 41%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 47%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceWrexham to win 44%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Wrexham All games D W W W L
2–2 at BSC 5–3 v IPS 2–1 v PTM 1–0 at CHA 1–2 v HUL
Swansea City All games W D L W W
1–0 v BSC 1–1 v PNE 0–3 at IPS 2–0 v STK 2–1 at PTM

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes57% Both teams scored in 5 of Wrexham's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Swansea City's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerWrexhamDrawSwansea
WilliamHill 2.30 3.20 3.10
bet365 2.25 3.25 3.20
Betfair 2.20 3.25 3.10
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Wrexham v Swansea City: prediction and result

Wrexham hosted Swansea City in the Championship on Friday 13 March and won 2–0.

Wrexham are in decent form: 3 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 10 points from a possible 15. They have scored 11 and conceded 8 in that run. Their last game was a 1–2 defeat at home to Hull City.

Swansea City are in decent form: 3 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 10 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 2–1 win away at Portsmouth.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.30 for Wrexham, 3.25 for the draw and 3.20 for Swansea. The bookmakers make Wrexham favourites, at about 41% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Wrexham to win, with a 44% chance. The market puts it at 41% and our match model at 47%, and blending those with recent form gives 44%. The best price, 2.30 at WilliamHill, is longer than our fair price of 2.28, so there is value in it. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Championship table

More Championship predictions

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.