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Exeter City v Cardiff City prediction

Sat 14 Mar, 15:00 League One Full time 0–4
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Cardiff City to win 51%
Exeter 24% Draw 25% Cardiff 51%
Best price1.73 WilliamHill Fair price1.96 from our 51%

How we got to 51%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 54%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 46%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceCardiff City to win 51%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Exeter City All games D L D L L
3–3 at PTU 1–5 v BOL 1–1 v BRA 1–2 at BRS 0–1 v LNC
Cardiff City All games W L W L D
4–1 v AWM 2–5 at PLA 4–0 at DNR 0–2 v LNC 1–1 at BRS

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes54% Both teams scored in 3 of Exeter City's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of Cardiff City's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerExeterDrawCardiff
Betfair 4.50 3.75 1.67
bet365 4.50 3.75 1.70
WilliamHill 4.33 3.70 1.73
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Exeter City v Cardiff City: prediction and result

Exeter City hosted Cardiff City in the League One on Saturday 14 March, and Cardiff City won 0–4 away from home.

Exeter City are short of results: 0 won, 2 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 2 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 12 in that run. Their last game was a 0–1 defeat at home to Lincoln City.

Cardiff City are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 11 and conceded 9 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw away at Barnsley.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 4.50 for Exeter, 3.75 for the draw and 1.73 for Cardiff. The bookmakers make Cardiff City favourites, at about 54% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Cardiff City to win, with a 51% chance. The market puts it at 54% and our match model at 46%, and blending those with recent form gives 51%. The best price, 1.73 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 1.96. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.