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Northampton Town v Burton Albion prediction

Sat 14 Mar, 15:00 League One Full time 0–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Burton Albion to win 36%
Northampton 35% Draw 29% Burton 36%
Best price2.45 Betfair Fair price2.79 from our 36%

How we got to 36%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 38%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 32%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceBurton Albion to win 36%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Northampton Town All games L L L D L
0–4 at LNC 1–2 v LEY 0–1 v PTV 1–1 v PTU 0–1 at AWM
Burton Albion All games D W L D L
1–1 at LUT 3–0 v STO 0–3 at WYC 1–1 at EXE 0–1 v STV

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes55% Both teams scored in 4 of Northampton Town's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 5 of Burton Albion's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerNorthamptonDrawBurton
WilliamHill 2.90 3.10 2.40
bet365 2.90 3.25 2.40
Betfair 2.70 3.20 2.45
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Northampton Town v Burton Albion: prediction and result

Northampton Town hosted Burton Albion in the League One on Saturday 14 March, and Burton Albion won 0–2 away from home.

Northampton Town are short of results: 0 won, 1 drawn and 4 lost from their last 5, 1 points from a possible 15. They have scored 2 and conceded 9 in that run. Their last game was a 0–1 defeat away at AFC Wimbledon.

Burton Albion are in mixed form: 1 won, 2 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 5 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 0–1 defeat at home to Stevenage.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.90 for Northampton, 3.25 for the draw and 2.45 for Burton. The bookmakers make Burton Albion favourites, at about 38% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Burton Albion to win, with a 36% chance. The market puts it at 38% and our match model at 32%, and blending those with recent form gives 36%. The best price, 2.45 at Betfair, is shorter than our fair price of 2.79. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.