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Reading v Plymouth Argyle prediction

Sat 14 Mar, 15:00 League One Full time 2–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Plymouth Argyle to win 38%
Reading 35% Draw 27% Plymouth 38%
Best price2.38 Betfair Fair price2.63 from our 38%

How we got to 38%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 40%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 35%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chancePlymouth Argyle to win 38%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Reading All games D D W W L
1–1 v BOL 1–1 at PTV 2–1 v BDC 3–2 at LUT 0–1 at MAN
Plymouth Argyle All games W W L W W
3–1 at LEY 5–2 v CDF 0–1 at RTU 2–1 v DNR 3–0 at WIG

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes56% Both teams scored in 5 of Reading's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of Plymouth Argyle's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerReadingDrawPlymouth
bet365 3.00 3.40 2.30
WilliamHill 2.80 3.40 2.30
Betfair 2.75 3.25 2.38
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Reading v Plymouth Argyle: prediction and result

Reading hosted Plymouth Argyle in the League One on Saturday 14 March, and it finished 2–2.

Reading are in decent form: 2 won, 2 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 8 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 0–1 defeat away at Mansfield Town.

Plymouth Argyle are in strong form: 4 won, 0 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 12 points from a possible 15. They have scored 13 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 3–0 win away at Wigan Athletic.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 3.00 for Reading, 3.40 for the draw and 2.38 for Plymouth. The bookmakers make Plymouth Argyle favourites, at about 40% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Plymouth Argyle to win, with a 38% chance. The market puts it at 40% and our match model at 35%, and blending those with recent form gives 38%. The best price, 2.38 at Betfair, is shorter than our fair price of 2.63. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League One table

More League One predictions

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.