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Stoke City v Watford prediction

Sat 14 Mar, 15:00 Championship Full time 3–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Watford to win 36%
Stoke 35% Draw 29% Watford 36%
Best price2.60 bet365 Fair price2.77 from our 36%

How we got to 36%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 37%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 35%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceWatford to win 36%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Stoke City All games D W L L D
2–2 v LEI 2–1 v OXF 1–2 at CVC 0–2 at SWA 3–3 v IPS
Watford All games D W L W D
2–2 at PNE 2–0 v DRB 0–2 v IPS 2–1 at BSC 1–1 at SHF

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes53% Both teams scored in 4 of Stoke City's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of Watford's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerStokeDrawWatford
WilliamHill 2.70 3.10 2.50
Betfair 2.70 3.20 2.50
bet365 2.62 3.30 2.60
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Stoke City v Watford: prediction and result

Stoke City hosted Watford in the Championship on Saturday 14 March and won 3–1.

Stoke City are in mixed form: 1 won, 2 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 5 points from a possible 15. They have scored 8 and conceded 10 in that run. Their last game was a 3–3 draw at home to Ipswich Town.

Watford are in decent form: 2 won, 2 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 8 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw away at Sheffield Wednesday.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.70 for Stoke, 3.30 for the draw and 2.60 for Watford. The bookmakers see little between Watford and Stoke City here.

Our prediction: Watford to win, with a 36% chance. The market puts it at 37% and our match model at 35%, and blending those with recent form gives 36%. The best price, 2.60 at bet365, is shorter than our fair price of 2.77. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Championship table

More Championship predictions

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.