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Bristol Rovers v Accrington Stanley prediction

Sat 28 Mar, 15:00 League Two Full time 2–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Bristol Rovers to win 49%
Bristol 49% Draw 26% Accrington 25%
Best price1.75 WilliamHill Fair price2.05 from our 49%

How we got to 49%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 54%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 42%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceBristol Rovers to win 49%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Bristol Rovers All games W W L W W
2–1 v CAX 2–0 at BRW 0–1 at BMY 1–0 v SHT 2–1 at GLG
Accrington Stanley All games L D D L L
1–2 at BMY 1–1 v CMU 0–0 at BRW 0–4 v NOT 0–1 v CST

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes50% Both teams scored in 3 of Bristol Rovers's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of Accrington Stanley's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerBristolDrawAccrington
WilliamHill 1.75 3.40 4.33
bet365 1.75 3.60 4.50
Betfair 1.67 3.75 4.50
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Bristol Rovers v Accrington Stanley: prediction and result

Bristol Rovers hosted Accrington Stanley in the League Two on Saturday 28 March and won 2–0.

Bristol Rovers are in strong form: 4 won, 0 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 12 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 3 in that run. Their last game was a 2–1 win away at Gillingham.

Accrington Stanley are short of results: 0 won, 2 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 2 points from a possible 15. They have scored 2 and conceded 8 in that run. Their last game was a 0–1 defeat at home to Chesterfield.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.75 for Bristol, 3.75 for the draw and 4.50 for Accrington. The bookmakers make Bristol Rovers favourites, at about 54% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Bristol Rovers to win, with a 49% chance. The market puts it at 54% and our match model at 42%, and blending those with recent form gives 49%. The best price, 1.75 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.05. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League Two table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.