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Swindon Town v Fleetwood Town prediction

Sat 28 Mar, 15:00 League Two Full time 1–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Swindon Town to win 45%
Swindon 45% Draw 27% Fleetwood 28%
Best price2.05 WilliamHill Fair price2.22 from our 45%

How we got to 45%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 45%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 45%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceSwindon Town to win 45%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Swindon Town All games D D L W W
1–1 v BRR 2–2 at CRT 1–2 v MKD 2–0 at GLG 1–0 at TRR
Fleetwood Town All games D D D L W
1–1 at GLG 2–2 v CTT 0–0 v TRR 0–1 at GBT 1–0 v CRT

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes54% Both teams scored in 4 of Swindon Town's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Fleetwood Town's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerSwindonDrawFleetwood
WilliamHill 2.05 3.30 3.25
bet365 2.05 3.50 3.30
Betfair 2.00 3.50 3.25
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Swindon Town v Fleetwood Town: prediction and result

Swindon Town hosted Fleetwood Town in the League Two on Saturday 28 March, and it finished 1–1.

Swindon Town are in decent form: 2 won, 2 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 8 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 1–0 win away at Tranmere Rovers.

Fleetwood Town are in mixed form: 1 won, 3 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 6 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 1–0 win at home to Crawley Town.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.05 for Swindon, 3.50 for the draw and 3.30 for Fleetwood. The bookmakers make Swindon Town favourites, at about 45% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Swindon Town to win, with a 45% chance. The market puts it at 45% and our match model at 45%, and blending those with recent form gives 45%. The best price, 2.05 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.22. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League Two table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.