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Crawley Town v Gillingham prediction

Sat 28 Mar, 15:00 League Two Full time 2–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Crawley Town to win 42%
Crawley 42% Draw 27% Gillingham 30%
Best price2.15 bet365 Fair price2.37 from our 42%

How we got to 42%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 44%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 40%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceCrawley Town to win 42%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Crawley Town All games L D D D L
0–2 at OAT 2–2 v SWI 0–0 at CLU 1–1 v BNT 0–1 at FLT
Gillingham All games D L L L L
1–1 v FLT 1–5 v MKD 0–5 at CMU 0–2 v SWI 1–2 v BRR

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes48% Both teams scored in 3 of Crawley Town's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 0 of Gillingham's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerCrawleyDrawGillingham
bet365 2.15 3.40 3.25
WilliamHill 2.10 3.30 3.10
Betfair 2.05 3.40 3.25
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Crawley Town v Gillingham: prediction and result

Crawley Town hosted Gillingham in the League Two on Saturday 28 March and won 2–0.

Crawley Town are short of results: 0 won, 3 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 3 points from a possible 15. They have scored 3 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 0–1 defeat away at Fleetwood Town.

Gillingham are short of results: 0 won, 1 drawn and 4 lost from their last 5, 1 points from a possible 15. They have scored 3 and conceded 15 in that run. Their last game was a 1–2 defeat at home to Bristol Rovers.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.15 for Crawley, 3.40 for the draw and 3.25 for Gillingham. The bookmakers make Crawley Town favourites, at about 44% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Crawley Town to win, with a 42% chance. The market puts it at 44% and our match model at 40%, and blending those with recent form gives 42%. The best price, 2.15 at bet365, is shorter than our fair price of 2.37. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League Two table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.