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Salford City v Notts County prediction

Fri 3 Apr, 15:00 League Two Full time 2–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Salford City to win 40%
Salford 40% Draw 28% Notts 32%
Best price2.50 Betfair Fair price2.49 from our 40%

How we got to 40%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 40%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 40%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceSalford City to win 40%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Salford City All games W W W L W
1–0 v WSL 1–0 at HAT 3–1 v BRW 0–1 at CMU 1–0 v MKD
Notts County All games L W W L W
2–3 v CST 4–0 at ACC 5–2 v CTT 0–3 at OAT 2–0 at HAT

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes51% Both teams scored in 3 of Salford City's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of Notts County's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerSalfordDrawNotts
Betfair 2.50 2.75 3.25
WilliamHill 2.25 3.25 3.00
bet365 2.25 3.40 3.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Salford City v Notts County: prediction and result

Salford City hosted Notts County in the League Two on Friday 3 April and won 2–1.

Salford City are in strong form: 4 won, 0 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 12 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 2 in that run. Their last game was a 1–0 win at home to Milton Keynes Dons.

Notts County are in decent form: 3 won, 0 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 9 points from a possible 15. They have scored 13 and conceded 8 in that run. Their last game was a 2–0 win away at Harrogate Town.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.50 for Salford, 3.40 for the draw and 3.25 for Notts. The bookmakers make Salford City favourites, at about 40% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Salford City to win, with a 40% chance. The market puts it at 40% and our match model at 40%, and blending those with recent form gives 40%. The best price, 2.50 at Betfair, is longer than our fair price of 2.49, so there is value in it. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League Two table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.