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Barrow v Chesterfield prediction

Mon 6 Apr, 15:00 League Two Full time 0–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Chesterfield to win 45%
Barrow 27% Draw 28% Chesterfield 45%
Best price2.10 bet365 Fair price2.20 from our 45%

How we got to 45%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 44%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 47%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceChesterfield to win 45%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Barrow All games D L L W D
0–0 v ACC 1–3 at SAL 0–5 at GBT 2–1 v BMY 0–0 at MKD
Chesterfield All games L W L W W
2–3 v SHT 3–2 at NOT 0–3 v OAT 1–0 at ACC 1–0 v CTT

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes48% Both teams scored in 1 of Barrow's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Chesterfield's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerBarrowDrawChesterfield
Betfair 3.60 3.30 2.10
bet365 3.40 3.25 2.10
WilliamHill 3.30 3.20 2.10
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Barrow v Chesterfield: prediction and result

Barrow hosted Chesterfield in the League Two on Monday 6 April, and Chesterfield won 0–1 away from home.

Barrow are in mixed form: 1 won, 2 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 5 points from a possible 15. They have scored 3 and conceded 9 in that run. Their last game was a 0–0 draw away at Milton Keynes Dons.

Chesterfield are in decent form: 3 won, 0 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 9 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 8 in that run. Their last game was a 1–0 win at home to Cheltenham Town.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 3.60 for Barrow, 3.30 for the draw and 2.10 for Chesterfield. The bookmakers make Chesterfield favourites, at about 45% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Chesterfield to win, with a 45% chance. The market puts it at 44% and our match model at 47%, and blending those with recent form gives 45%. The best price, 2.10 at bet365, is shorter than our fair price of 2.20. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League Two table

More League Two predictions

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.