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Crewe Alexandra v Salford City prediction

Mon 6 Apr, 15:00 League Two Full time 1–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Salford City to win 39%
Crewe 34% Draw 26% Salford 39%
Best price2.20 WilliamHill Fair price2.55 from our 39%

How we got to 39%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 42%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 35%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceSalford City to win 39%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Crewe Alexandra All games L D W W L
0–3 v WSL 1–1 at CTT 4–0 at SHT 2–1 v OAT 0–2 at ACC
Salford City All games W W L W W
1–0 at HAT 3–1 v BRW 0–1 at CMU 1–0 v MKD 2–1 v NOT

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes53% Both teams scored in 2 of Crewe Alexandra's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of Salford City's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerCreweDrawSalford
bet365 3.20 3.30 2.15
WilliamHill 3.00 3.30 2.20
Betfair 3.00 3.40 2.20
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Crewe Alexandra v Salford City: prediction and result

Crewe Alexandra hosted Salford City in the League Two on Monday 6 April and won 1–0.

Crewe Alexandra are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 0–2 defeat away at Accrington Stanley.

Salford City are in strong form: 4 won, 0 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 12 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 3 in that run. Their last game was a 2–1 win at home to Notts County.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 3.20 for Crewe, 3.40 for the draw and 2.20 for Salford. The bookmakers make Salford City favourites, at about 43% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Salford City to win, with a 39% chance. The market puts it at 42% and our match model at 35%, and blending those with recent form gives 39%. The best price, 2.20 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.55. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League Two table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.