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Gillingham v Accrington Stanley prediction

Mon 6 Apr, 15:00 League Two Full time 2–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Gillingham to win 42%
Gillingham 42% Draw 28% Accrington 31%
Best price2.10 WilliamHill Fair price2.41 from our 42%

How we got to 42%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 45%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 37%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceGillingham to win 42%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Gillingham All games L L L L D
0–5 at CMU 0–2 v SWI 1–2 v BRR 0–2 at CRT 2–2 at WSL
Accrington Stanley All games D L L L W
0–0 at BRW 0–4 v NOT 0–1 v CST 0–2 at BRR 2–0 v CAX

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes50% Both teams scored in 4 of Gillingham's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of Accrington Stanley's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerGillinghamDrawAccrington
WilliamHill 2.10 3.25 3.30
bet365 2.10 3.20 3.50
Betfair 2.00 3.25 3.60
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Gillingham v Accrington Stanley: prediction and result

Gillingham hosted Accrington Stanley in the League Two on Monday 6 April and won 2–0.

Gillingham are short of results: 0 won, 1 drawn and 4 lost from their last 5, 1 points from a possible 15. They have scored 3 and conceded 13 in that run. Their last game was a 2–2 draw away at Walsall.

Accrington Stanley are in mixed form: 1 won, 1 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 4 points from a possible 15. They have scored 2 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 2–0 win at home to Crewe Alexandra.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.10 for Gillingham, 3.25 for the draw and 3.60 for Accrington. The bookmakers make Gillingham favourites, at about 45% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Gillingham to win, with a 42% chance. The market puts it at 45% and our match model at 37%, and blending those with recent form gives 42%. The best price, 2.10 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.41. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League Two table

More League Two predictions

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.