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Notts County v Newport County prediction

Mon 6 Apr, 15:00 League Two Full time 3–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Notts County to win 62%
Notts 62% Draw 22% Newport 16%
Best price1.57 WilliamHill Fair price1.61 from our 62%

How we got to 62%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 59%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 66%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceNotts County to win 62%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Notts County All games W W L W L
4–0 at ACC 5–2 v CTT 0–3 at OAT 2–0 at HAT 1–2 at SAL
Newport County All games W L L W L
2–1 at BNT 0–1 v BMY 1–2 at WSL 1–0 v SHT 0–2 v CRT

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes51% Both teams scored in 3 of Notts County's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Newport County's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerNottsDrawNewport
WilliamHill 1.57 3.90 5.00
bet365 1.57 3.80 5.75
Betfair 1.50 4.00 5.50
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Notts County v Newport County: prediction and result

Notts County hosted Newport County in the League Two on Monday 6 April and won 3–1.

Notts County are in decent form: 3 won, 0 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 9 points from a possible 15. They have scored 12 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 1–2 defeat away at Salford City.

Newport County are in mixed form: 2 won, 0 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 6 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 0–2 defeat at home to Crawley Town.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.57 for Notts, 4.00 for the draw and 5.75 for Newport. The bookmakers make Notts County favourites, at about 60% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Notts County to win, with a 62% chance. The market puts it at 59% and our match model at 66%, and blending those with recent form gives 62%. The best price, 1.57 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 1.61. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League Two table

More League Two predictions

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.