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Colchester United v Swindon Town prediction

Fri 10 Apr, 19:45 League Two Full time 3–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Colchester United to win 41%
Colchester 41% Draw 27% Swindon 32%
Best price2.25 WilliamHill Fair price2.46 from our 41%

How we got to 41%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 42%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 39%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceColchester United to win 41%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Colchester United All games L L D L W
0–1 at MKD 0–1 at BMY 1–1 v WSL 1–3 v OAT 1–0 at TRR
Swindon Town All games W W D D W
2–0 at GLG 1–0 at TRR 1–1 v FLT 1–1 at CMU 2–1 v WSL

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes56% Both teams scored in 3 of Colchester United's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of Swindon Town's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerColchesterDrawSwindon
WilliamHill 2.25 3.30 2.88
bet365 2.25 3.70 2.90
Betfair 2.20 3.25 3.25
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Colchester United v Swindon Town: prediction and result

Colchester United hosted Swindon Town in the League Two on Friday 10 April and won 3–0.

Colchester United are in mixed form: 1 won, 1 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 4 points from a possible 15. They have scored 3 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 1–0 win away at Tranmere Rovers.

Swindon Town are in strong form: 3 won, 2 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 11 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 3 in that run. Their last game was a 2–1 win at home to Walsall.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.25 for Colchester, 3.70 for the draw and 3.25 for Swindon. The bookmakers make Colchester United favourites, at about 43% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Colchester United to win, with a 41% chance. The market puts it at 42% and our match model at 39%, and blending those with recent form gives 41%. The best price, 2.25 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.46. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League Two table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.