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Bristol Rovers v Crawley Town prediction

Sat 11 Apr, 12:30 League Two Full time 3–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Bristol Rovers to win 56%
Bristol 55% Draw 23% Crawley 22%
Best price1.95 WilliamHill Fair price1.80 from our 56%

How we got to 55%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 62%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 46%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceBristol Rovers to win 55%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Bristol Rovers All games W W W W W
1–0 v SHT 2–1 at GLG 2–0 v ACC 1–0 v FLT 3–2 at HAT
Crawley Town All games D L W W L
1–1 v BNT 0–1 at FLT 2–0 v GLG 2–0 at NPT 0–2 v GBT

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes48% Both teams scored in 3 of Bristol Rovers's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 0 of Crawley Town's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerBristolDrawCrawley
WilliamHill 1.95 3.30 3.70
bet365 1.95 3.30 3.90
Betfair 1.05 12.00 41.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Bristol Rovers v Crawley Town: prediction and result

Bristol Rovers hosted Crawley Town in the League Two on Saturday 11 April and won 3–1.

Bristol Rovers are in strong form: 5 won, 0 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 15 points from a possible 15. They have scored 9 and conceded 3 in that run. Their last game was a 3–2 win away at Harrogate Town.

Crawley Town are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 0–2 defeat at home to Grimsby Town.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.95 for Bristol, 12.00 for the draw and 41.00 for Crawley. The bookmakers make Bristol Rovers favourites, at about 83% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Bristol Rovers to win, with a 56% chance. The market puts it at 62% and our match model at 46%, and blending those with recent form gives 56%. The best price, 1.95 at WilliamHill, is longer than our fair price of 1.80, so there is value in it. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League Two table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.