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Cambridge United v Notts County prediction

Sat 11 Apr, 15:00 League Two Full time 4–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Cambridge United to win 58%
Cambridge 58% Draw 23% Notts 19%
Best price1.85 WilliamHill Fair price1.74 from our 58%

How we got to 58%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 64%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 47%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceCambridge United to win 58%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Cambridge United All games D W L D D
0–0 at WSL 1–0 v SAL 0–1 at BNT 1–1 v SWI 1–1 at CTT
Notts County All games W L W L W
5–2 v CTT 0–3 at OAT 2–0 at HAT 1–2 at SAL 3–1 v NPT

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes48% Both teams scored in 4 of Cambridge United's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of Notts County's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerCambridgeDrawNotts
WilliamHill 1.85 3.10 4.40
bet365 1.80 3.20 4.75
Betfair 1.03 15.00 51.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Cambridge United v Notts County: prediction and result

Cambridge United hosted Notts County in the League Two on Saturday 11 April and won 4–0.

Cambridge United are in mixed form: 1 won, 3 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 6 points from a possible 15. They have scored 3 and conceded 3 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw away at Cheltenham Town.

Notts County are in decent form: 3 won, 0 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 9 points from a possible 15. They have scored 11 and conceded 8 in that run. Their last game was a 3–1 win at home to Newport County.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.85 for Cambridge, 15.00 for the draw and 51.00 for Notts. The bookmakers make Cambridge United favourites, at about 86% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Cambridge United to win, with a 58% chance. The market puts it at 64% and our match model at 47%, and blending those with recent form gives 58%. The best price, 1.85 at WilliamHill, is longer than our fair price of 1.74, so there is value in it. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League Two table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.