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Barnet v Barrow prediction

Sat 11 Apr, 15:00 League Two Full time 3–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Barnet to win 55%
Barnet 55% Draw 30% Barrow 16%
Best price2.50 Betfair Fair price1.83 from our 55%

How we got to 55%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 53%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 57%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceBarnet to win 55%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Barnet All games D W W D W
1–1 at CRT 3–1 at MKD 1–0 v CMU 2–2 v BMY 5–2 at FLT
Barrow All games L L W D L
1–3 at SAL 0–5 at GBT 2–1 v BMY 0–0 at MKD 0–1 v CST

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes50% Both teams scored in 3 of Barnet's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of Barrow's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerBarnetDrawBarrow
Betfair 2.50 1.73 9.00
bet365 1.53 3.80 6.25
WilliamHill 1.50 4.00 5.80
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Barnet v Barrow: prediction and result

Barnet hosted Barrow in the League Two on Saturday 11 April and won 3–2.

Barnet are in strong form: 3 won, 2 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 11 points from a possible 15. They have scored 12 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 5–2 win away at Fleetwood Town.

Barrow are in mixed form: 1 won, 1 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 4 points from a possible 15. They have scored 3 and conceded 10 in that run. Their last game was a 0–1 defeat at home to Chesterfield.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.50 for Barnet, 4.00 for the draw and 9.00 for Barrow. The bookmakers make Barnet favourites, at about 53% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Barnet to win, with a 55% chance. The market puts it at 53% and our match model at 57%, and blending those with recent form gives 55%. The best price, 2.50 at Betfair, is longer than our fair price of 1.83, so there is value in it. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League Two table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.