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Oxford United v Watford prediction

Sat 11 Apr, 15:00 Championship Full time 2–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Oxford United to win 42%
Oxford 42% Draw 29% Watford 29%
Best price2.30 WilliamHill Fair price2.37 from our 42%

How we got to 42%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 48%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 34%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceOxford United to win 42%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Oxford United All games W D L D D
1–0 v BBR 1–1 v CHA 0–2 at SOU 1–1 v HUL 2–2 at PTM
Watford All games L W D L D
1–3 at STK 3–1 v WXH 0–0 v LEI 1–2 at QPR 1–1 v CHA

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes53% Both teams scored in 3 of Oxford United's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 5 of Watford's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerOxfordDrawWatford
WilliamHill 2.30 3.10 2.90
bet365 2.30 3.20 3.20
Betfair 1.44 3.50 8.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Oxford United v Watford: prediction and result

Oxford United hosted Watford in the Championship on Saturday 11 April and won 2–0.

Oxford United are in mixed form: 1 won, 3 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 6 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 2–2 draw away at Portsmouth.

Watford are in mixed form: 1 won, 2 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 5 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw at home to Charlton Athletic.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.30 for Oxford, 3.50 for the draw and 8.00 for Watford. The bookmakers make Oxford United favourites, at about 51% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Oxford United to win, with a 42% chance. The market puts it at 48% and our match model at 34%, and blending those with recent form gives 42%. The best price, 2.30 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.37. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Championship table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.