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AFC Wimbledon v Plymouth Argyle prediction

Sat 18 Apr, 15:00 League One Full time 1–3
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Plymouth Argyle to win 49%
AFC Wimbledon 26% Draw 25% Plymouth 49%
Best price1.91 WilliamHill Fair price2.04 from our 49%

How we got to 49%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 50%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 48%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chancePlymouth Argyle to win 49%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
AFC Wimbledon All games L L L L L
0–3 at STO 0–1 at LNC 0–3 v LUT 0–1 at BRA 0–2 v STO
Plymouth Argyle All games W W L W D
1–0 v STV 3–1 v HDD 1–2 v BOL 3–0 at BRS 2–2 v EXE

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes53% Both teams scored in 3 of AFC Wimbledon's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of Plymouth Argyle's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerAFC WimbledonDrawPlymouth
Betfair 3.90 3.60 1.90
bet365 3.80 3.75 1.83
WilliamHill 3.60 3.50 1.91
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

AFC Wimbledon v Plymouth Argyle: prediction and result

AFC Wimbledon hosted Plymouth Argyle in the League One on Saturday 18 April, and Plymouth Argyle won 1–3 away from home.

AFC Wimbledon are short of results: 0 won, 0 drawn and 5 lost from their last 5, 0 points from a possible 15. They have scored 0 and conceded 10 in that run. Their last game was a 0–2 defeat at home to Stockport County.

Plymouth Argyle are in decent form: 3 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 10 points from a possible 15. They have scored 10 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 2–2 draw at home to Exeter City.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 3.90 for AFC Wimbledon, 3.75 for the draw and 1.91 for Plymouth. The bookmakers make Plymouth Argyle favourites, at about 50% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Plymouth Argyle to win, with a 49% chance. The market puts it at 50% and our match model at 48%, and blending those with recent form gives 49%. The best price, 1.91 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.04. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.