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Barnsley v Bradford City prediction

Sat 18 Apr, 12:30 League One Full time 2–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Bradford City to win 40%
Barnsley 33% Draw 28% Bradford 40%
Best price2.25 bet365 Fair price2.51 from our 40%

How we got to 40%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 42%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 37%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceBradford City to win 40%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Barnsley All games L D L W D
0–1 v DNR 1–1 at BRA 0–3 v PLA 3–1 at RTU 0–0 at PTV
Bradford City All games D L W W L
1–1 v MAN 1–2 at BRA 1–0 v NHT 2–1 at WYC 0–1 v STV

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes56% Both teams scored in 3 of Barnsley's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of Bradford City's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerBarnsleyDrawBradford
WilliamHill 3.10 3.20 2.20
bet365 3.10 3.30 2.25
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Barnsley v Bradford City: prediction and result

Barnsley hosted Bradford City in the League One on Saturday 18 April, and it finished 2–2.

Barnsley are in mixed form: 1 won, 2 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 5 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 0–0 draw away at Port Vale.

Bradford City are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 0–1 defeat at home to Stevenage.

The best prices across 2 UK bookmakers are 3.10 for Barnsley, 3.30 for the draw and 2.25 for Bradford. The bookmakers make Bradford City favourites, at about 42% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Bradford City to win, with a 40% chance. The market puts it at 42% and our match model at 37%, and blending those with recent form gives 40%. The best price, 2.25 at bet365, is shorter than our fair price of 2.51. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.