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Exeter City v Stockport County prediction

Sat 18 Apr, 15:00 League One Full time 3–3
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Stockport County to win 55%
Exeter 23% Draw 22% Stockport 55%
Best price1.90 bet365 Fair price1.81 from our 55%

How we got to 55%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 63%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 43%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceStockport County to win 55%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Exeter City All games L D L W D
0–2 at WIG 0–0 v LEY 0–1 at BLK 3–0 v DNR 2–2 at PLA
Stockport County All games D W W D W
1–1 at LUT 3–0 v AWM 3–0 v WYC 2–2 at BOL 2–0 at AWM

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes55% Both teams scored in 2 of Exeter City's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of Stockport County's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerExeterDrawStockport
Betfair 26.00 12.00 1.05
WilliamHill 3.90 3.80 1.75
bet365 3.60 3.70 1.90
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Exeter City v Stockport County: prediction and result

Exeter City hosted Stockport County in the League One on Saturday 18 April, and it finished 3–3.

Exeter City are in mixed form: 1 won, 2 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 5 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 2–2 draw away at Plymouth Argyle.

Stockport County are in strong form: 3 won, 2 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 11 points from a possible 15. They have scored 11 and conceded 3 in that run. Their last game was a 2–0 win away at AFC Wimbledon.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 26.00 for Exeter, 12.00 for the draw and 1.90 for Stockport. The bookmakers make Stockport County favourites, at about 81% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Stockport County to win, with a 55% chance. The market puts it at 63% and our match model at 43%, and blending those with recent form gives 55%. The best price, 1.90 at bet365, is longer than our fair price of 1.81, so there is value in it. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.