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Harrogate Town v Colchester United prediction

Sat 18 Apr, 15:00 League Two Full time 1–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Colchester United to win 47%
Harrogate 27% Draw 27% Colchester 47%
Best price2.20 WilliamHill Fair price2.15 from our 47%

How we got to 47%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 43%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 52%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceColchester United to win 47%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Harrogate Town All games L L W L L
0–1 at OAT 0–2 v NOT 3–1 at GBT 2–3 v BRR 1–2 at NPT
Colchester United All games D L W W W
1–1 v WSL 1–3 v OAT 1–0 at TRR 3–0 v SWI 2–1 v ACC

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes49% Both teams scored in 3 of Harrogate Town's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of Colchester United's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerHarrogateDrawColchester
Betfair 3.20 3.25 2.10
bet365 3.20 3.30 2.15
WilliamHill 3.10 3.25 2.20
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Harrogate Town v Colchester United: prediction and result

Harrogate Town hosted Colchester United in the League Two on Saturday 18 April and won 1–0.

Harrogate Town are short of results: 1 won, 0 drawn and 4 lost from their last 5, 3 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 9 in that run. Their last game was a 1–2 defeat away at Newport County.

Colchester United are in decent form: 3 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 10 points from a possible 15. They have scored 8 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 2–1 win at home to Accrington Stanley.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 3.20 for Harrogate, 3.30 for the draw and 2.20 for Colchester. The bookmakers make Colchester United favourites, at about 42% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Colchester United to win, with a 47% chance. The market puts it at 43% and our match model at 52%, and blending those with recent form gives 47%. The best price, 2.20 at WilliamHill, is longer than our fair price of 2.15, so there is value in it. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League Two table

More League Two predictions

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2–1 FT Colchester United v Accrington Stanley Colchester United to win 57% 3–2 FT Barrow v Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic to win 45% 2–1 FT Chesterfield v Grimsby Town Chesterfield to win 38% 2–1 FT Cheltenham Town v Gillingham Cheltenham Town to win 37% 0–0 FT Bromley v Cambridge United Cambridge United to win 38% 2–2 FT Swindon Town v Accrington Stanley Swindon Town to win 49% 1–3 FT Barrow v Walsall Walsall to win 37% 1–3 FT Crewe Alexandra v Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons to win 50%
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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.