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Mansfield Town v Luton Town prediction

Sat 18 Apr, 15:00 League One Full time 2–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Luton Town to win 41%
Mansfield 33% Draw 26% Luton 41%
Best price2.20 WilliamHill Fair price2.45 from our 41%

How we got to 41%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 42%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 38%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceLuton Town to win 41%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Mansfield Town All games W W D L D
4–1 v NHT 2–0 at DNR 0–0 v BRA 1–2 at WIG 0–0 at LEY
Luton Town All games W D W W W
3–2 v EXE 1–1 v STO 2–1 v PTU 3–0 at AWM 2–1 v NHT

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes58% Both teams scored in 3 of Mansfield Town's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of Luton Town's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerMansfieldDrawLuton
bet365 3.20 3.40 2.15
WilliamHill 2.90 3.50 2.20
Betfair 2.90 3.50 2.20
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Mansfield Town v Luton Town: prediction and result

Mansfield Town hosted Luton Town in the League One on Saturday 18 April, and it finished 2–2.

Mansfield Town are in decent form: 2 won, 2 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 8 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 3 in that run. Their last game was a 0–0 draw away at Leyton Orient.

Luton Town are in strong form: 4 won, 1 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 13 points from a possible 15. They have scored 11 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 2–1 win at home to Northampton Town.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 3.20 for Mansfield, 3.50 for the draw and 2.20 for Luton. The bookmakers make Luton Town favourites, at about 43% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Luton Town to win, with a 41% chance. The market puts it at 42% and our match model at 38%, and blending those with recent form gives 41%. The best price, 2.20 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.45. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League One table

More League One predictions

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.