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Northampton Town v Doncaster Rovers prediction

Sat 18 Apr, 15:00 League One Full time 1–3
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Doncaster Rovers to win 49%
Northampton 26% Draw 25% Doncaster 49%
Best price1.73 WilliamHill Fair price2.04 from our 49%

How we got to 49%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 54%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 42%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceDoncaster Rovers to win 49%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Northampton Town All games L L L L L
1–2 at STO 1–4 at MAN 0–1 at BDC 1–3 v WIG 1–2 at LUT
Doncaster Rovers All games W W L L W
1–0 at BRS 1–0 v PTV 0–2 v MAN 0–3 at EXE 1–0 v RDG

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes52% Both teams scored in 4 of Northampton Town's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of Doncaster Rovers's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerNorthamptonDrawDoncaster
WilliamHill 4.40 3.60 1.73
Betfair 4.33 3.70 1.73
bet365 4.33 3.70 1.72
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Northampton Town v Doncaster Rovers: prediction and result

Northampton Town hosted Doncaster Rovers in the League One on Saturday 18 April, and Doncaster Rovers won 1–3 away from home.

Northampton Town are short of results: 0 won, 0 drawn and 5 lost from their last 5, 0 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 12 in that run. Their last game was a 1–2 defeat away at Luton Town.

Doncaster Rovers are in decent form: 3 won, 0 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 9 points from a possible 15. They have scored 3 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 1–0 win at home to Reading.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 4.40 for Northampton, 3.70 for the draw and 1.73 for Doncaster. The bookmakers make Doncaster Rovers favourites, at about 54% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Doncaster Rovers to win, with a 49% chance. The market puts it at 54% and our match model at 42%, and blending those with recent form gives 49%. The best price, 1.73 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.04. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.