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Notts County v Barnet prediction

Sat 18 Apr, 15:00 League Two Full time 1–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Notts County to win 37%
Notts 37% Draw 27% Barnet 36%
Best price2.70 bet365 Fair price2.67 from our 37%

How we got to 37%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 35%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 41%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceNotts County to win 37%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Notts County All games L W L W L
0–3 at OAT 2–0 at HAT 1–2 at SAL 3–1 v NPT 0–4 at CMU
Barnet All games W W D W W
3–1 at MKD 1–0 v CMU 2–2 v BMY 5–2 at FLT 3–2 v BRW

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes59% Both teams scored in 4 of Notts County's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of Barnet's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerNottsDrawBarnet
bet365 2.70 3.30 2.55
Betfair 2.63 3.20 2.50
WilliamHill 2.60 3.25 2.50
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Notts County v Barnet: prediction and result

Notts County hosted Barnet in the League Two on Saturday 18 April, and Barnet won 1–2 away from home.

Notts County are in mixed form: 2 won, 0 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 6 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 10 in that run. Their last game was a 0–4 defeat away at Cambridge United.

Barnet are in strong form: 4 won, 1 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 13 points from a possible 15. They have scored 14 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 3–2 win at home to Barrow.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.70 for Notts, 3.30 for the draw and 2.55 for Barnet. The bookmakers see little between Barnet and Notts County here.

Our prediction: Notts County to win, with a 37% chance. The market puts it at 35% and our match model at 41%, and blending those with recent form gives 37%. The best price, 2.70 at bet365, is longer than our fair price of 2.67, so there is value in it. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League Two table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.