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Reading v Cardiff City prediction

Sat 18 Apr, 15:00 League One Full time 1–3
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Cardiff City to win 54%
Reading 21% Draw 25% Cardiff 54%
Best price1.73 Betfair Fair price1.86 from our 54%

How we got to 54%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 57%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 48%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceCardiff City to win 54%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Reading All games L W D L L
0–1 at STV 3–0 v WIG 1–1 at HDD 1–2 v LNC 0–1 at DNR
Cardiff City All games L D D W D
0–2 v WYC 0–0 v BLK 1–1 at PTU 2–0 v BOL 1–1 at HDD

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes57% Both teams scored in 5 of Reading's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of Cardiff City's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerReadingDrawCardiff
bet365 5.25 4.10 1.55
WilliamHill 5.00 4.00 1.57
Betfair 5.00 3.25 1.73
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Reading v Cardiff City: prediction and result

Reading hosted Cardiff City in the League One on Saturday 18 April, and Cardiff City won 1–3 away from home.

Reading are in mixed form: 1 won, 1 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 4 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 0–1 defeat away at Doncaster Rovers.

Cardiff City are in mixed form: 1 won, 3 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 6 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw away at Huddersfield Town.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 5.25 for Reading, 4.10 for the draw and 1.73 for Cardiff. The bookmakers make Cardiff City favourites, at about 57% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Cardiff City to win, with a 54% chance. The market puts it at 57% and our match model at 48%, and blending those with recent form gives 54%. The best price, 1.73 at Betfair, is shorter than our fair price of 1.86. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League One table

More League One predictions

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.