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Stevenage v Lincoln City prediction

Sat 18 Apr, 15:00 League One Full time 2–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Lincoln City to win 38%
Stevenage 31% Draw 31% Lincoln 38%
Best price2.55 Betfair Fair price2.61 from our 38%

How we got to 38%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 38%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 39%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceLincoln City to win 38%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Stevenage All games W D W W L
1–0 v RDG 0–0 at RTU 1–0 v BLK 1–0 at BDC 1–5 at BOL
Lincoln City All games D W W W W
2–2 at HDD 3–0 v RTU 1–0 v AWM 2–1 at RDG 2–1 v LEY

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes47% Both teams scored in 3 of Stevenage's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Lincoln City's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerStevenageDrawLincoln
bet365 3.20 3.00 2.30
WilliamHill 2.90 3.00 2.45
Betfair 2.88 2.88 2.55
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Stevenage v Lincoln City: prediction and result

Stevenage hosted Lincoln City in the League One on Saturday 18 April, and it finished 2–2.

Stevenage are in decent form: 3 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 10 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 1–5 defeat away at Bolton Wanderers.

Lincoln City are in strong form: 4 won, 1 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 13 points from a possible 15. They have scored 10 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 2–1 win at home to Leyton Orient.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 3.20 for Stevenage, 3.00 for the draw and 2.55 for Lincoln. The bookmakers make Lincoln City favourites, at about 38% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Lincoln City to win, with a 38% chance. The market puts it at 38% and our match model at 39%, and blending those with recent form gives 38%. The best price, 2.55 at Betfair, is shorter than our fair price of 2.61. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.