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Peterborough United v Burton Albion prediction

Sun 19 Apr, 13:00 League One Full time 1–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Peterborough United to win 38%
Peterborough 38% Draw 26% Burton 36%
Best price2.88 Betfair Fair price2.66 from our 38%

How we got to 38%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 34%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 43%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chancePeterborough United to win 38%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Peterborough United All games D L D L L
1–1 at AWM 1–2 at LUT 1–1 v CDF 1–3 at BLK 1–3 v PTV
Burton Albion All games W L D D W
2–1 v BDC 0–1 at BLK 1–1 v BRS 0–0 at MAN 1–0 v AWM

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes59% Both teams scored in 5 of Peterborough United's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of Burton Albion's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerPeterboroughDrawBurton
Betfair 2.88 3.25 2.30
bet365 2.70 3.30 2.50
WilliamHill 2.62 3.50 2.40
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Peterborough United v Burton Albion: prediction and result

Peterborough United hosted Burton Albion in the League One on Sunday 19 April, and it finished 1–1.

Peterborough United are short of results: 0 won, 2 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 2 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 10 in that run. Their last game was a 1–3 defeat at home to Port Vale.

Burton Albion are in decent form: 2 won, 2 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 8 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 3 in that run. Their last game was a 1–0 win at home to AFC Wimbledon.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.88 for Peterborough, 3.50 for the draw and 2.50 for Burton. The bookmakers make Burton Albion favourites, at about 39% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Peterborough United to win, with a 38% chance. The market puts it at 34% and our match model at 43%, and blending those with recent form gives 38%. The best price, 2.88 at Betfair, is longer than our fair price of 2.66, so there is value in it. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.