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Queens Park Rangers v Swansea City prediction

Tue 21 Apr, 19:45 Championship Full time 1–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Queens Park Rangers to win 43%
QPR 43% Draw 27% Swansea 30%
Best price2.30 bet365 Fair price2.33 from our 43%

How we got to 43%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 41%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 45%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceQueens Park Rangers to win 43%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Queens Park Rangers All games W W D D L
6–1 v PTM 2–1 v WAT 1–1 at PNE 0–0 v BSC 0–2 at MLW
Swansea City All games L D D W L
0–3 v CVC 3–3 at SHU 2–2 v MID 1–0 at LEI 1–2 v SOU

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes53% Both teams scored in 3 of Queens Park Rangers's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of Swansea City's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerQPRDrawSwansea
bet365 2.30 3.25 3.10
WilliamHill 2.25 3.30 3.00
Betfair 2.20 3.30 3.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Queens Park Rangers v Swansea City: prediction and result

Queens Park Rangers hosted Swansea City in the Championship on Tuesday 21 April, and Swansea City won 1–2 away from home.

Queens Park Rangers are in decent form: 2 won, 2 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 8 points from a possible 15. They have scored 9 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 0–2 defeat away at Millwall.

Swansea City are in mixed form: 1 won, 2 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 5 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 10 in that run. Their last game was a 1–2 defeat at home to Southampton.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.30 for QPR, 3.30 for the draw and 3.10 for Swansea. The bookmakers make Queens Park Rangers favourites, at about 41% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Queens Park Rangers to win, with a 43% chance. The market puts it at 41% and our match model at 45%, and blending those with recent form gives 43%. The best price, 2.30 at bet365, is shorter than our fair price of 2.33. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Championship table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.