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Stoke City v Millwall prediction

Tue 21 Apr, 19:45 Championship Full time 1–3
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Millwall to win 48%
Stoke 27% Draw 25% Millwall 48%
Best price1.75 WilliamHill Fair price2.09 from our 48%

How we got to 48%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 54%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 38%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceMillwall to win 48%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Stoke City All games L W L D L
1–3 at PNE 2–0 v SHF 0–2 at DRB 1–1 v BBR 0–2 at WXH
Millwall All games D W L D W
1–1 at IPS 2–1 at MID 1–2 v NOR 0–0 at WBA 2–0 v QPR

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes60% Both teams scored in 5 of Stoke City's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of Millwall's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerStokeDrawMillwall
bet365 4.50 4.00 1.66
Betfair 4.33 3.75 1.70
WilliamHill 4.00 3.75 1.75
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Stoke City v Millwall: prediction and result

Stoke City hosted Millwall in the Championship on Tuesday 21 April, and Millwall won 1–3 away from home.

Stoke City are in mixed form: 1 won, 1 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 4 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 8 in that run. Their last game was a 0–2 defeat away at Wrexham.

Millwall are in decent form: 2 won, 2 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 8 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 2–0 win at home to Queens Park Rangers.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 4.50 for Stoke, 4.00 for the draw and 1.75 for Millwall. The bookmakers make Millwall favourites, at about 55% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Millwall to win, with a 48% chance. The market puts it at 54% and our match model at 38%, and blending those with recent form gives 48%. The best price, 1.75 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.09. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Championship table

More Championship predictions

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.