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Southampton v Bristol City prediction

Tue 21 Apr, 19:45 Championship Full time 2–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Southampton to win 64%
Southampton 64% Draw 21% Bristol 15%
Best price1.36 WilliamHill Fair price1.56 from our 64%

How we got to 64%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 69%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 57%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceSouthampton to win 64%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Southampton All games W W W W W
2–0 v OXF 5–1 at WXH 2–1 v DRB 3–0 v BBR 2–1 at SWA
Bristol City All games L W W D L
0–1 v WBA 2–1 at CHA 1–0 v SHU 0–0 at QPR 2–4 v NOR

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes48% Both teams scored in 2 of Southampton's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Bristol City's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerSouthamptonDrawBristol
WilliamHill 1.36 4.80 7.50
bet365 1.36 4.75 8.50
Betfair 1.33 4.75 7.50
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Southampton v Bristol City: prediction and result

Southampton hosted Bristol City in the Championship on Tuesday 21 April, and it finished 2–2.

Southampton are in strong form: 5 won, 0 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 15 points from a possible 15. They have scored 14 and conceded 3 in that run. Their last game was a 2–1 win away at Swansea City.

Bristol City are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 2–4 defeat at home to Norwich City.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.36 for Southampton, 4.80 for the draw and 8.50 for Bristol. The bookmakers make Southampton favourites, at about 69% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Southampton to win, with a 64% chance. The market puts it at 69% and our match model at 57%, and blending those with recent form gives 64%. The best price, 1.36 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 1.56. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Championship table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.