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Northampton Town v Barnsley prediction

Tue 28 Apr, 19:45 League One Full time 0–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Barnsley to win 43%
Northampton 32% Draw 25% Barnsley 43%
Best price2.05 WilliamHill Fair price2.34 from our 43%

How we got to 43%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 45%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 39%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceBarnsley to win 43%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Northampton Town All games L L L L L
0–1 at BDC 1–3 v WIG 1–2 at LUT 1–3 v DNR 1–5 at CDF
Barnsley All games W D D L L
3–1 at RTU 0–0 at PTV 2–2 v BDC 0–1 at STV 1–2 at LUT

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes62% Both teams scored in 4 of Northampton Town's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of Barnsley's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerNorthamptonDrawBarnsley
bet365 3.10 3.80 2.05
WilliamHill 3.00 3.75 2.05
Betfair 3.00 3.75 2.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Northampton Town v Barnsley: prediction and result

Northampton Town hosted Barnsley in the League One on Tuesday 28 April, and Barnsley won 0–1 away from home.

Northampton Town are short of results: 0 won, 0 drawn and 5 lost from their last 5, 0 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 14 in that run. Their last game was a 1–5 defeat away at Cardiff City.

Barnsley are in mixed form: 1 won, 2 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 5 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 1–2 defeat away at Luton Town.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 3.10 for Northampton, 3.80 for the draw and 2.05 for Barnsley. The bookmakers make Barnsley favourites, at about 45% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Barnsley to win, with a 43% chance. The market puts it at 45% and our match model at 39%, and blending those with recent form gives 43%. The best price, 2.05 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.34. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.