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Northampton Town v Plymouth Argyle prediction

Sat 2 May, 15:00 League One Full time 2–3
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Plymouth Argyle to win 55%
Northampton 24% Draw 21% Plymouth 55%
Best price3.25 Betfair Fair price1.81 from our 55%

How we got to 55%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 55%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 56%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chancePlymouth Argyle to win 55%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Northampton Town All games L L L L L
1–3 v WIG 1–2 at LUT 1–3 v DNR 1–5 at CDF 0–1 v BRS
Plymouth Argyle All games W D W D W
3–0 at BRS 2–2 v EXE 3–1 at AWM 1–1 at BDC 2–1 v PTV

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes53% Both teams scored in 3 of Northampton Town's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Plymouth Argyle's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerNorthamptonDrawPlymouth
WilliamHill 6.50 5.00 1.36
bet365 5.75 5.75 1.38
Betfair 1.91 4.00 3.25
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Northampton Town v Plymouth Argyle: prediction and result

Northampton Town hosted Plymouth Argyle in the League One on Saturday 2 May, and Plymouth Argyle won 2–3 away from home.

Northampton Town are short of results: 0 won, 0 drawn and 5 lost from their last 5, 0 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 14 in that run. Their last game was a 0–1 defeat at home to Barnsley.

Plymouth Argyle are in strong form: 3 won, 2 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 11 points from a possible 15. They have scored 11 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 2–1 win at home to Port Vale.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 6.50 for Northampton, 5.75 for the draw and 3.25 for Plymouth. The bookmakers make Plymouth Argyle favourites, at about 48% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Plymouth Argyle to win, with a 55% chance. The market puts it at 55% and our match model at 56%, and blending those with recent form gives 55%. The best price, 3.25 at Betfair, is longer than our fair price of 1.81, so there is value in it. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.