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Port Vale v Lincoln City prediction

Sat 2 May, 15:00 League One Full time 0–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Lincoln City to win 57%
Port Vale 19% Draw 24% Lincoln 57%
Best price1.67 WilliamHill Fair price1.74 from our 57%

How we got to 57%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 62%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 50%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceLincoln City to win 57%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Port Vale All games W D L L W
3–1 at PTU 0–0 v WIG 0–1 at CDF 1–2 at PLA 2–1 at STO
Lincoln City All games W W D W W
2–1 at RDG 2–1 v LEY 2–2 at STV 2–0 at DNR 4–3 v WYC

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes45% Both teams scored in 0 of Port Vale's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Lincoln City's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerPort ValeDrawLincoln
Betfair 12.00 5.50 1.22
WilliamHill 4.50 3.70 1.67
bet365 4.10 4.33 1.66
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Port Vale v Lincoln City: prediction and result

Port Vale hosted Lincoln City in the League One on Saturday 2 May, and Lincoln City won 0–2 away from home.

Port Vale are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 2–1 win away at Stockport County.

Lincoln City are in strong form: 4 won, 1 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 13 points from a possible 15. They have scored 12 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 4–3 win at home to Wycombe Wanderers.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 12.00 for Port Vale, 5.50 for the draw and 1.67 for Lincoln. The bookmakers make Lincoln City favourites, at about 69% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Lincoln City to win, with a 57% chance. The market puts it at 62% and our match model at 50%, and blending those with recent form gives 57%. The best price, 1.67 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 1.74. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League One table

More League One predictions

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1–2 FT Stockport County v Port Vale Stockport County to win 68% 0–1 FT Northampton Town v Barnsley Barnsley to win 43% 0–0 FT Peterborough United v Mansfield Town Mansfield Town to win 37% 3–2 FT Wycombe Wanderers v Rotherham United Wycombe Wanderers to win 58% 2–3 FT Northampton Town v Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle to win 55% 1–0 FT Stevenage v Wigan Athletic Stevenage to win 55% 2–2 FT Leyton Orient v Burton Albion Leyton Orient to win 52% 1–3 FT Barnsley v Stockport County Stockport County to win 50%
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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.