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Stockport County v Port Vale prediction

Tue 28 Apr, 19:45 League One Full time 1–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Stockport County to win 68%
Stockport 68% Draw 18% Port Vale 14%
Best price1.33 WilliamHill Fair price1.46 from our 68%

How we got to 68%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 70%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 65%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceStockport County to win 68%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Stockport County All games D W D L W
2–2 at BOL 2–0 at AWM 3–3 at EXE 0–1 v MAN 3–1 v PTU
Port Vale All games D W D L L
0–0 v BRS 3–1 at PTU 0–0 v WIG 0–1 at CDF 1–2 at PLA

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes52% Both teams scored in 3 of Stockport County's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Port Vale's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerStockportDrawPort Vale
WilliamHill 1.33 5.00 8.00
bet365 1.33 5.25 7.50
Betfair 1.29 5.00 8.50
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Stockport County v Port Vale: prediction and result

Stockport County hosted Port Vale in the League One on Tuesday 28 April, and Port Vale won 1–2 away from home.

Stockport County are in decent form: 2 won, 2 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 8 points from a possible 15. They have scored 10 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 3–1 win at home to Peterborough United.

Port Vale are in mixed form: 1 won, 2 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 5 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 1–2 defeat away at Plymouth Argyle.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.33 for Stockport, 5.25 for the draw and 8.50 for Port Vale. The bookmakers make Stockport County favourites, at about 71% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Stockport County to win, with a 68% chance. The market puts it at 70% and our match model at 65%, and blending those with recent form gives 68%. The best price, 1.33 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 1.46. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League One table

More League One predictions

All League One picks that week →
0–1 FT Northampton Town v Barnsley Barnsley to win 43% 0–0 FT Peterborough United v Mansfield Town Mansfield Town to win 37% 3–2 FT Wycombe Wanderers v Rotherham United Wycombe Wanderers to win 58% 0–2 FT Port Vale v Lincoln City Lincoln City to win 57% 2–3 FT Northampton Town v Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle to win 55% 1–0 FT Stevenage v Wigan Athletic Stevenage to win 55% 2–2 FT Leyton Orient v Burton Albion Leyton Orient to win 52% 1–3 FT Barnsley v Stockport County Stockport County to win 50%
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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.