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Southampton v Ipswich Town prediction

Tue 28 Apr, 19:45 Championship Full time 2–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Southampton to win 43%
Southampton 43% Draw 27% Ipswich 31%
Best price2.10 WilliamHill Fair price2.33 from our 43%

How we got to 43%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 44%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 42%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceSouthampton to win 43%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Southampton All games W W W W D
5–1 at WXH 2–1 v DRB 3–0 v BBR 2–1 at SWA 2–2 v BSC
Ipswich Town All games W L D W D
2–0 at NOR 0–2 at PTM 2–2 v MID 2–1 at CHA 0–0 at WBA

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes52% Both teams scored in 2 of Southampton's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of Ipswich Town's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerSouthamptonDrawIpswich
WilliamHill 2.10 3.40 3.25
Betfair 2.10 3.50 3.00
bet365 2.10 3.40 3.20
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Southampton v Ipswich Town: prediction and result

Southampton hosted Ipswich Town in the Championship on Tuesday 28 April, and it finished 2–2.

Southampton are in strong form: 4 won, 1 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 13 points from a possible 15. They have scored 14 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 2–2 draw at home to Bristol City.

Ipswich Town are in decent form: 2 won, 2 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 8 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 0–0 draw away at West Bromwich Albion.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.10 for Southampton, 3.50 for the draw and 3.25 for Ipswich. The bookmakers make Southampton favourites, at about 45% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Southampton to win, with a 43% chance. The market puts it at 44% and our match model at 42%, and blending those with recent form gives 43%. The best price, 2.10 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.33. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Championship table

More Championship predictions

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.