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Bristol City v Stoke City prediction

Sat 2 May, 12:30 Championship Full time 2–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Bristol City to win 52%
Bristol 52% Draw 25% Stoke 23%
Best price1.95 WilliamHill Fair price1.91 from our 52%

How we got to 52%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 54%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 50%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceBristol City to win 52%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Bristol City All games W D L D L
1–0 v SHU 0–0 at QPR 2–4 v NOR 2–2 at SOU 1–2 at BRC
Stoke City All games L D L L L
0–2 at DRB 1–1 v BBR 0–2 at WXH 1–3 v MLW 1–3 v PTM

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes55% Both teams scored in 3 of Bristol City's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of Stoke City's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerBristolDrawStoke
WilliamHill 1.95 3.60 3.50
bet365 1.90 3.70 3.80
Betfair 1.44 4.20 6.50
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Bristol City v Stoke City: prediction and result

Bristol City hosted Stoke City in the Championship on Saturday 2 May and won 2–0.

Bristol City are in mixed form: 1 won, 2 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 5 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 8 in that run. Their last game was a 1–2 defeat away at Birmingham City.

Stoke City are short of results: 0 won, 1 drawn and 4 lost from their last 5, 1 points from a possible 15. They have scored 3 and conceded 11 in that run. Their last game was a 1–3 defeat at home to Portsmouth.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.95 for Bristol, 4.20 for the draw and 6.50 for Stoke. The bookmakers make Bristol City favourites, at about 57% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Bristol City to win, with a 52% chance. The market puts it at 54% and our match model at 50%, and blending those with recent form gives 52%. The best price, 1.95 at WilliamHill, is longer than our fair price of 1.91, so there is value in it. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Championship table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.