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Derby County v Sheffield United prediction

Sat 2 May, 12:30 Championship Full time 1–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Derby County to win 52%
Derby 52% Draw 24% Sheffield 24%
Best price1.95 WilliamHill Fair price1.94 from our 52%

How we got to 52%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 58%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 42%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceDerby County to win 52%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Derby County All games W L W L W
2–0 v STK 1–2 at SOU 1–0 v OXF 1–2 at NOR 3–2 at QPR
Sheffield United All games L W W L L
0–1 at BSC 2–1 v HUL 2–0 at WAT 1–3 v BBR 2–3 v PNE

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes52% Both teams scored in 2 of Derby County's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of Sheffield United's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerDerbyDrawSheffield
WilliamHill 1.95 3.60 3.50
bet365 1.75 3.70 4.33
Betfair 1.29 5.50 10.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Derby County v Sheffield United: prediction and result

Derby County hosted Sheffield United in the Championship on Saturday 2 May, and Sheffield United won 1–2 away from home.

Derby County are in decent form: 3 won, 0 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 9 points from a possible 15. They have scored 8 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 3–2 win away at Queens Park Rangers.

Sheffield United are in mixed form: 2 won, 0 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 6 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 8 in that run. Their last game was a 2–3 defeat at home to Preston North End.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.95 for Derby, 5.50 for the draw and 10.00 for Sheffield. The bookmakers make Derby County favourites, at about 65% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Derby County to win, with a 52% chance. The market puts it at 58% and our match model at 42%, and blending those with recent form gives 52%. The best price, 1.95 at WilliamHill, is longer than our fair price of 1.94, so there is value in it. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Championship table

More Championship predictions

All Championship picks that week →
2–2 FT Southampton v Ipswich Town Southampton to win 43% 3–0 FT Ipswich Town v Queens Park Rangers Ipswich Town to win 74% 2–0 FT Millwall v Oxford United Millwall to win 64% 2–1 FT Sheffield Wednesday v West Bromwich Albion West Bromwich Albion to win 57% 2–0 FT Bristol City v Stoke City Bristol City to win 52% 1–3 FT Preston North End v Southampton Southampton to win 49% 3–1 FT Swansea City v Charlton Athletic Swansea City to win 48% 2–2 FT Wrexham v Middlesbrough Middlesbrough to win 47%
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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.