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Millwall v Oxford United prediction

Sat 2 May, 12:30 Championship Full time 2–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Millwall to win 64%
Millwall 64% Draw 21% Oxford 15%
Best price1.38 bet365 Fair price1.57 from our 64%

How we got to 64%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 68%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 57%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceMillwall to win 64%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Millwall All games L D W W D
1–2 v NOR 0–0 at WBA 2–0 v QPR 3–1 at STK 1–1 at LEI
Oxford United All games D W L L W
2–2 at PTM 2–0 v WAT 0–1 at DRB 0–1 v WXH 4–1 v SHF

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes51% Both teams scored in 3 of Millwall's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Oxford United's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerMillwallDrawOxford
bet365 1.38 5.00 7.00
WilliamHill 1.36 4.80 7.00
Betfair 1.36 4.50 8.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Millwall v Oxford United: prediction and result

Millwall hosted Oxford United in the Championship on Saturday 2 May and won 2–0.

Millwall are in decent form: 2 won, 2 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 8 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw away at Leicester City.

Oxford United are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 8 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 4–1 win at home to Sheffield Wednesday.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.38 for Millwall, 5.00 for the draw and 8.00 for Oxford. The bookmakers make Millwall favourites, at about 69% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Millwall to win, with a 64% chance. The market puts it at 68% and our match model at 57%, and blending those with recent form gives 64%. The best price, 1.38 at bet365, is shorter than our fair price of 1.57. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Championship table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.