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AFC Bournemouth v Manchester City prediction

Tue 19 May, 19:30 Premier League Full time 1–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Manchester City to win 55%
AFC Bournemouth 22% Draw 23% Man City 55%
Best price1.62 WilliamHill Fair price1.83 from our 55%

How we got to 55%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 59%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 48%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceManchester City to win 55%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
AFC Bournemouth All games W W D W W
2–1 at ARS 2–1 at NEW 2–2 v LEE 3–0 v CRY 1–0 at FUL
Manchester City All games W W D W W
2–1 v ARS 1–0 at BUR 3–3 at EVE 3–0 v BRE 3–0 v CRY

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes58% Both teams scored in 4 of AFC Bournemouth's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Manchester City's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerAFC BournemouthDrawMan City
Betfair 5.00 4.60 1.60
WilliamHill 4.80 4.20 1.62
bet365 4.75 4.50 1.61
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

AFC Bournemouth v Manchester City: prediction and result

AFC Bournemouth hosted Manchester City in the Premier League on Tuesday 19 May, and it finished 1–1.

AFC Bournemouth are in strong form: 4 won, 1 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 13 points from a possible 15. They have scored 10 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 1–0 win away at Fulham.

Manchester City are in strong form: 4 won, 1 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 13 points from a possible 15. They have scored 12 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 3–0 win at home to Crystal Palace.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 5.00 for AFC Bournemouth, 4.60 for the draw and 1.62 for Man City. The bookmakers make Manchester City favourites, at about 60% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Manchester City to win, with a 55% chance. The market puts it at 59% and our match model at 48%, and blending those with recent form gives 55%. The best price, 1.62 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 1.83. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.