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Chelsea v Tottenham Hotspur prediction

Tue 19 May, 20:15 Premier League Full time 2–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Chelsea to win 46%
Chelsea 46% Draw 26% Tottenham 28%
Best price2.25 bet365 Fair price2.18 from our 46%

How we got to 46%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 44%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 49%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceChelsea to win 46%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Chelsea All games L L L L D
0–3 v MCI 0–1 v MUN 0–3 at BHA 1–3 v NFO 1–1 at LIV
Tottenham Hotspur All games L D W W D
0–1 at SUN 2–2 v BHA 1–0 at WOL 2–1 at AVL 1–1 v LEE

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes56% Both teams scored in 3 of Chelsea's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Tottenham Hotspur's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerChelseaDrawTottenham
bet365 2.25 3.25 3.30
Betfair 2.10 3.50 3.50
WilliamHill 2.10 3.40 3.40
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Chelsea v Tottenham Hotspur: prediction and result

Chelsea hosted Tottenham Hotspur in the Premier League on Tuesday 19 May and won 2–1.

Chelsea are short of results: 0 won, 1 drawn and 4 lost from their last 5, 1 points from a possible 15. They have scored 2 and conceded 11 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw away at Liverpool.

Tottenham Hotspur are in decent form: 2 won, 2 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 8 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw at home to Leeds United.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.25 for Chelsea, 3.50 for the draw and 3.50 for Tottenham. The bookmakers make Chelsea favourites, at about 44% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Chelsea to win, with a 46% chance. The market puts it at 44% and our match model at 49%, and blending those with recent form gives 46%. The best price, 2.25 at bet365, is longer than our fair price of 2.18, so there is value in it. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

More Premier League predictions

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.