How we got to 45%
Three sources, blended. How it works →Form
Last 5, oldest first
Sunderland
All games
L
L
D
D
W
Chelsea
All games
L
L
L
D
W
Both teams to score
Revealed after full timeMatch result odds
GB-licensed bookmakersSunderland v Chelsea: prediction and result
Sunderland hosted Chelsea in the Premier League on Sunday 24 May and won 2–1.
Sunderland are in mixed form: 1 won, 2 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 5 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 11 in that run. Their last game was a 3–1 win away at Everton.
Chelsea are in mixed form: 1 won, 1 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 4 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 9 in that run. Their last game was a 2–1 win at home to Tottenham Hotspur.
The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 3.60 for Sunderland, 3.80 for the draw and 2.05 for Chelsea. The bookmakers make Chelsea favourites, at about 47% once the margin is taken out.
Our prediction: Chelsea to win, with a 45% chance. The market puts it at 47% and our match model at 44%, and blending those with recent form gives 45%. The best price, 2.05 at bet365, is shorter than our fair price of 2.21. The pick lost.
More Premier League predictions
All Premier League picks that week →Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.