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Burnley v Wolverhampton Wanderers prediction

Sun 24 May, 16:00 Premier League Full time 1–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Burnley to win 41%
Burnley 41% Draw 28% Wolves 32%
Best price2.40 Betfair Fair price2.45 from our 41%

How we got to 41%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 39%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 43%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceBurnley to win 41%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Burnley All games L L L D L
1–4 at NFO 0–1 v MCI 1–3 at LEE 2–2 v AVL 0–1 at ARS
Wolverhampton Wanderers All games L L D L D
0–3 at LEE 0–1 v TOT 1–1 v SUN 0–3 at BHA 1–1 v FUL

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes49% Both teams scored in 2 of Burnley's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 1 of Wolverhampton Wanderers's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerBurnleyDrawWolves
Betfair 2.40 3.25 2.88
WilliamHill 2.40 3.30 2.80
bet365 2.35 3.40 2.90
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Burnley v Wolverhampton Wanderers: prediction and result

Burnley hosted Wolverhampton Wanderers in the Premier League on Sunday 24 May, and it finished 1–1.

Burnley are short of results: 0 won, 1 drawn and 4 lost from their last 5, 1 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 11 in that run. Their last game was a 0–1 defeat away at Arsenal.

Wolverhampton Wanderers are short of results: 0 won, 2 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 2 points from a possible 15. They have scored 2 and conceded 9 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw at home to Fulham.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.40 for Burnley, 3.40 for the draw and 2.90 for Wolves. The bookmakers make Burnley favourites, at about 39% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Burnley to win, with a 41% chance. The market puts it at 39% and our match model at 43%, and blending those with recent form gives 41%. The best price, 2.40 at Betfair, is shorter than our fair price of 2.45. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.