How we got to 43%
Three sources, blended. How it works →Form
Last 5, oldest first
Nottingham Forest
All games
W
W
W
D
L
AFC Bournemouth
All games
W
D
W
W
D
Both teams to score
Revealed after full timeMatch result odds
GB-licensed bookmakersNottingham Forest v AFC Bournemouth: prediction and result
Nottingham Forest hosted AFC Bournemouth in the Premier League on Sunday 24 May, and it finished 1–1.
Nottingham Forest are in decent form: 3 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 10 points from a possible 15. They have scored 15 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 2–3 defeat away at Manchester United.
AFC Bournemouth are in strong form: 3 won, 2 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 11 points from a possible 15. They have scored 9 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw at home to Manchester City.
The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 3.70 for Nott'm Forest, 3.80 for the draw and 1.95 for AFC Bournemouth. The bookmakers make AFC Bournemouth favourites, at about 49% once the margin is taken out.
Our prediction: AFC Bournemouth to win, with a 43% chance. The market puts it at 48% and our match model at 35%, and blending those with recent form gives 43%. The best price, 1.95 at Betfair, is shorter than our fair price of 2.31. The pick lost.
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