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Bristol City v Birmingham City prediction

Sat 25 Oct, 15:00 Championship Full time 1–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Bristol City to win 42%
Bristol 42% Draw 28% Birmingham 30%
Best price2.15 Ladbrokes Fair price2.37 from our 42%

How we got to 42%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 43%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 40%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceBristol City to win 42%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Bristol City All games W W
1–0 at NOR 3–1 v SOU
Birmingham City All games L W
2–3 v HUL 1–0 at PNE

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes52% Both teams scored in 1 of Bristol City's last 1 home games. Both teams scored in 0 of Birmingham City's last 1 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerBristolDrawBirmingham
Ladbrokes 2.15 3.30 3.40
WilliamHill 2.15 3.20 3.30
bet365 2.15 3.25 3.40
Marathonbet 2.14 3.32 3.30
Betfair 2.00 3.00 3.25
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Bristol City v Birmingham City: prediction and result

Bristol City hosted Birmingham City in the Championship on Saturday 25 October and won 1–0.

Bristol City are in strong form: 2 won, 0 drawn and 0 lost from their last 2, 6 points from a possible 6. They have scored 4 and conceded 1 in that run. Their last game was a 3–1 win at home to Southampton.

Birmingham City are in decent form: 1 won, 0 drawn and 1 lost from their last 2, 3 points from a possible 6. They have scored 3 and conceded 3 in that run. Their last game was a 1–0 win away at Preston North End.

The best prices across 5 UK bookmakers are 2.15 for Bristol, 3.32 for the draw and 3.40 for Birmingham. The bookmakers make Bristol City favourites, at about 44% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Bristol City to win, with a 42% chance. The market puts it at 43% and our match model at 40%, and blending those with recent form gives 42%. The best price, 2.15 at Ladbrokes, is shorter than our fair price of 2.37. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Championship table

More Championship predictions

All Championship picks that week →
0–3 FT Ipswich Town v Charlton Athletic Ipswich Town to win 53% 1–2 FT Portsmouth v Coventry City Coventry City to win 45% 2–0 FT Millwall v Stoke City Millwall to win 42% 2–1 FT Hull City v Leicester City Leicester City to win 41% 1–0 FT Derby County v Norwich City Derby County to win 40% 0–1 FT Preston North End v Birmingham City Birmingham City to win 38% 1–3 FT Blackburn Rovers v Sheffield United Blackburn Rovers to win 36% 3–1 FT Bristol City v Southampton Bristol City to win 41%
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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.