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Derby County v Queens Park Rangers prediction

Sat 25 Oct, 15:00 Championship Full time 1–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Derby County to win 36%
Derby 36% Draw 29% QPR 35%
Best price2.80 WilliamHill Fair price2.79 from our 36%

How we got to 36%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 34%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 38%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceDerby County to win 36%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Derby County All games L W
0–1 at OXF 1–0 v NOR
Queens Park Rangers All games L W
1–2 v MLW 1–0 at SWA

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes50% Both teams scored in 0 of Derby County's last 1 home games. Both teams scored in 0 of Queens Park Rangers's last 1 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerDerbyDrawQPR
WilliamHill 2.80 3.10 2.50
bet365 2.80 3.20 2.50
Marathonbet 2.74 3.22 2.52
Ladbrokes 2.70 3.20 2.60
Betfair 2.50 3.00 2.63
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Derby County v Queens Park Rangers: prediction and result

Derby County hosted Queens Park Rangers in the Championship on Saturday 25 October and won 1–0.

Derby County are in decent form: 1 won, 0 drawn and 1 lost from their last 2, 3 points from a possible 6. They have scored 1 and conceded 1 in that run. Their last game was a 1–0 win at home to Norwich City.

Queens Park Rangers are in decent form: 1 won, 0 drawn and 1 lost from their last 2, 3 points from a possible 6. They have scored 2 and conceded 2 in that run. Their last game was a 1–0 win away at Swansea City.

The best prices across 5 UK bookmakers are 2.80 for Derby, 3.22 for the draw and 2.63 for QPR. The bookmakers see little between Queens Park Rangers and Derby County here.

Our prediction: Derby County to win, with a 36% chance. The market puts it at 34% and our match model at 38%, and blending those with recent form gives 36%. The best price, 2.80 at WilliamHill, is longer than our fair price of 2.79, so there is value in it. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Championship table

More Championship predictions

All Championship picks that week →
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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.