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Millwall v Leicester City prediction

Sat 25 Oct, 15:00 Championship Full time 1–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Millwall to win 37%
Millwall 37% Draw 28% Leicester 34%
Best price3.08 Marathonbet Fair price2.67 from our 37%

How we got to 37%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 33%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 44%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceMillwall to win 37%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Millwall All games W W
2–1 at QPR 2–0 v STK
Leicester City All games D L
1–1 v PTM 1–2 at HUL

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes53% Both teams scored in 0 of Millwall's last 1 home games. Both teams scored in 1 of Leicester City's last 1 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerMillwallDrawLeicester
Marathonbet 3.08 3.20 2.30
WilliamHill 3.00 3.10 2.38
Ladbrokes 2.90 3.30 2.37
Betfair 2.70 3.00 2.40
bet365 2.70 3.20 2.60
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Millwall v Leicester City: prediction and result

Millwall hosted Leicester City in the Championship on Saturday 25 October and won 1–0.

Millwall are in strong form: 2 won, 0 drawn and 0 lost from their last 2, 6 points from a possible 6. They have scored 4 and conceded 1 in that run. Their last game was a 2–0 win at home to Stoke City.

Leicester City are short of results: 0 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 2, 1 points from a possible 6. They have scored 2 and conceded 3 in that run. Their last game was a 1–2 defeat away at Hull City.

The best prices across 5 UK bookmakers are 3.08 for Millwall, 3.30 for the draw and 2.60 for Leicester. The bookmakers make Leicester City favourites, at about 38% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Millwall to win, with a 37% chance. The market puts it at 33% and our match model at 44%, and blending those with recent form gives 37%. The best price, 3.08 at Marathonbet, is longer than our fair price of 2.67, so there is value in it. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Championship table

More Championship predictions

All Championship picks that week →
0–3 FT Ipswich Town v Charlton Athletic Ipswich Town to win 53% 1–2 FT Portsmouth v Coventry City Coventry City to win 45% 2–0 FT Millwall v Stoke City Millwall to win 42% 2–1 FT Hull City v Leicester City Leicester City to win 41% 1–0 FT Derby County v Norwich City Derby County to win 40% 0–1 FT Preston North End v Birmingham City Birmingham City to win 38% 1–3 FT Blackburn Rovers v Sheffield United Blackburn Rovers to win 36% 3–1 FT Bristol City v Southampton Bristol City to win 41%
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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.