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Portsmouth v Stoke City prediction

Sat 25 Oct, 12:30 Championship Full time 0–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Portsmouth to win 38%
Portsmouth 38% Draw 29% Stoke 33%
Best price2.87 bet365 Fair price2.65 from our 38%

How we got to 38%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 33%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 44%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chancePortsmouth to win 38%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Portsmouth All games D L
1–1 at LEI 1–2 v CVC
Stoke City All games W L
1–0 v WXH 0–2 at MLW

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes51% Both teams scored in 1 of Portsmouth's last 1 home games. Both teams scored in 0 of Stoke City's last 1 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerPortsmouthDrawStoke
bet365 2.87 3.10 2.60
WilliamHill 2.80 3.10 2.50
Marathonbet 2.76 3.16 2.54
Ladbrokes 2.75 3.30 2.50
Betfair 2.60 3.00 2.50
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Portsmouth v Stoke City: prediction and result

Portsmouth hosted Stoke City in the Championship on Saturday 25 October, and Stoke City won 0–1 away from home.

Portsmouth are short of results: 0 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 2, 1 points from a possible 6. They have scored 2 and conceded 3 in that run. Their last game was a 1–2 defeat at home to Coventry City.

Stoke City are in decent form: 1 won, 0 drawn and 1 lost from their last 2, 3 points from a possible 6. They have scored 1 and conceded 2 in that run. Their last game was a 0–2 defeat away at Millwall.

The best prices across 5 UK bookmakers are 2.87 for Portsmouth, 3.30 for the draw and 2.60 for Stoke. The bookmakers see little between Stoke City and Portsmouth here.

Our prediction: Portsmouth to win, with a 38% chance. The market puts it at 33% and our match model at 44%, and blending those with recent form gives 38%. The best price, 2.87 at bet365, is longer than our fair price of 2.65, so there is value in it. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Championship table

More Championship predictions

All Championship picks that week →
0–3 FT Ipswich Town v Charlton Athletic Ipswich Town to win 53% 1–2 FT Portsmouth v Coventry City Coventry City to win 45% 2–0 FT Millwall v Stoke City Millwall to win 42% 2–1 FT Hull City v Leicester City Leicester City to win 41% 1–0 FT Derby County v Norwich City Derby County to win 40% 0–1 FT Preston North End v Birmingham City Birmingham City to win 38% 1–3 FT Blackburn Rovers v Sheffield United Blackburn Rovers to win 36% 3–1 FT Bristol City v Southampton Bristol City to win 41%
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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.